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Wednesday 25 May 2016

FORWARD OR BACKWARDS? SOUTH SUDAN ON BRINKS

"I have no doubt that his return to Juba today marks the end of the war and the return of peace and stability to South Sudan," Mr  Salva Kiir

South Sudan reactivated another course to peace with the inauguration of a new transition government highlighted by the oath taking of Riek Machar, reinaugurated as vice president of the world’s youngest nation state on 26th April 2016.

A bill board featuring President Salva Kiir and Dr Riek Machar in Juba
Source:bbcnews.com

This fete is expected put an end to an imbecilic two year civil war which was ignited from an alleged Coup d’état on 16th December 2013. Since that date,over two million South Sudanese have been displaced, exiled or killed as the big wigs in the SPLM (South Sudan People’s Liberation Movement) fractured and frictioned along ethnic lines in an ultimate battle for political dominance. The ensuing belligerence pitted Vice President Riek Machar, an ethnic Nuer against President Salva Kiir an ethnic Dinka.
Consequentially, the civilian population bore the brunt of the power tussle as both belligerent parties sought to outwit and eliminate each other. This saw the obliteration of Malakal (South Sudan’s second largest city), Bentiu, Bor and several other nascent infrastructures in the burgeoning state.
Born in 2011, after an overwhelming vote for secession from Sudan following after years of conflict in what was termed Africa’s longest running civil war; it was expected that the newly independent country activates a rapid march to development and prosperity of her peoples after years of alleged repression and neglect by Sudan. It was however disheartening to the optimistic euphoria that enamoured international support for the South Sudanese cause when the country slided back to anarchy in December 2013, despite being a battle ground during long running civil war that fetched her independence between 1956-2002.
Most hapless to note was the indiscretion on the part of the South Sudanese leadership in learning from the inadequacies of fellow African States (Most of which emerged from colonialism 50yrs ago).
Independence Celebrations in Juba
Source:bbcnews.com

The issues that led to the recent conflict were deeply entrenched from the splinter within the SPLA/M (Sudan People’s Liberation Army/Movement) ranks during the second Sudanese civil war along ethnic lines in 1991 as the Nuers led by Riek Machar sought to usurp the leadership role of John Garang (A Dinka) at the helm of the SPLA. In the end, Riek Machar led a breakaway faction under the pseudonym SPLM-Nasir, even as the mainstream John Garang led faction was informally christened SPLM-Torit.
Afterwards, the splinter factions turned the guns on each other even as the Riek Machar led SPLA-Nasir perpetuated the Bor massacre against the Dinka in 1991. In the end, the SPLA-Nasir allied with the Sudanese government thus sabotaging the South Sudanese quest against the government. Both parties buried the hatchet and reunited in January 2002 to jointly push the South Sudanese cause.
The sudden death of John Garang in a helicopter crash in July 2005 exposed the old fractious lines within the ranks of the SPLA , as Salva Kiir assumed the helm. Seen as academically inferior to the Bradford University doctorate holder in Riek Machar who has always set sights at the SPLA helm, the stage was set for a renewed Dinka-Nuer rivalry in a battle for political supremacy for the helm of South Sudanese polity.
This inordinate political power fracture ultimately simmered into a power tussle as Riek Machar (being vice president at independence) was sacked from his post in July 2013 in a massive cabinet and Military hierarchical shake up by President Salva Kiir. The country ultimately descended into civil war in an ironic repeat of the SPLA factional war of the 1990’s.

South Sudan's massive humanitarian crises caused by the civil war
Source:bbcnews.com

With peace on the horizon thanks to coercive efforts by regional powers in IGAD, AU and the UN, South Sudan has another chance to pursue the path development.
For too long since 1956 after Sudanese independence from Anglo-Egyptian hegemony, the black Nilotic peoples which comprise South Sudan had decried repressive tendencies by the Northern dominated government against their cultural and religious identities. Having now attained the long sought independence, Africa’s youngest state must set aside the whims of ethno-tribal schisms which have always been a divisive factor against development and integration amongst the older African States and seek her strength in diversity.

Sociopolitical repression and colonialism has always been a unifying factor that synegizes the quest for liberty in emergent states. However as it has always been with most African states, divergence in synergy fracturing along the lines of ethno-religious divisions shatter the strength of the purpose for independence. South Sudan must synergize to fix this rabid pandemic if she must aspire to march forward in the path of development after close to sixty years down the brinks.